2:00PM Water Cooler 4/22/2024 | bare capitalism

By Lambert Strether of Corrente.

Chook Music of the Day

American Woodcock, Nebraska Missuonary Baptist Church, Macon, Alabama, United States. Pretty evening sounds, however I’m struggling….

In Case You Would possibly Miss…

(1) Bragg’s principle of the case finally.

(2) Pennsylvania, the Jewish vote.

(3) Carl Schmitt, Nazi authorized theorist

(4) Anosognosia, Phrase of the Day, if not the last decade.

Politics

“So most of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are the truth is a rational administration of symbolic capital.” –Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles

2024

Lower than a yr to go!

RCP Ballot Averages, April 19:

Right here this Friday’s RCP polling. Trump continues to be doing very effectively in virtually all of the Swing States (extra right here), main with one exception: PA. Overlook all of the arithmetic, and have a look at PA as a check of the Trump marketing campaign’s fundamental competence. What are they doing to repair this? (I’ll work out a greater approach to current this, however for now: Blue dot = transfer towards Biden; crimson dot = transfer towards Trump. No dot = no change (presumably as a result of state polls aren’t that quite a few so removed from election day).

* * *

Trump (R) (Merchan/Bragg) “Trump felony trial wraps for the day after opening statements and first witness” (reside weblog) [CNN]. Recall that Trump’s alleged data violations are all misdemeanors except they have been a part of an “different crime,” by which case they change into felonies. Nevertheless, neither Bragg’s Indictment nor his Assertion of Details recognized that “different crime” (as I confirmed right here). In Bragg’s opening assertion, he did that. His principle of the case: “Trump, alongside along with his lawyer Michael Cohen and David Pecker, the previous chairman of the Nationwide Enquirer’s mother or father firm AMI, ‘fashioned a conspiracy … to affect the presidential election…. ‘It was election fraud, pure and easy,’ [prosecutor Matthew] Colangelo advised the jury. The scheme was three-pronged, Colangelo stated: the trio sought to assist Trump kill unfavorable tales about Trump – a course of referred to as ‘catch-and-kill’ – publish favorable tales about Trump and publish unfavorable tales about Trump’s political opponents. He laid out three completely different cases the place the trio allegedly conspired to stop dangerous details about Trump from changing into public previous to the 2016 election.” • So election fraud, presumably on the State stage (and never the opposite prospects, state tax regulation, and Federal election regulation). I would wish to see the statute to make certain, however this appears very weak to me, even weaker than the idea that the one actual property magnate in New York who ever engaged in puffery was Trump. It appears to me that it’s making an attempt to outlaw oppo (granted, a darkish artwork, however not unlawful). And when it comes to Democrart ethicalstanding, how is that this any completely different than getting most main venues to suppress the story of Hunter Biden’s laptop computer, and suborning 50 spooks to jot down a letter saying it was Russian disinformation? Make it make sense, as the youngsters say today.

Trump (R) Merchan: “The Essential Issue of the Stormy Daniels Case” (Merchan/Bragg) [The Atlantic]. “In his indictment, Bragg lays out an in depth case for why the previous president, in hiding the funds, supposed to violate each state and federal election legal guidelines.” • That is both mendacity or gorgeous ignorance (or probably groupthink). As I present right here, Bragg does no such factor. Solely right now does Bragg present his hand on the “different crime” Trump commmitted (and if I learn CNN’s reside weblog appropriately, solely on the state stage).

Trump (R) (Merchan/Bragg): “Did Donald Trump Simply Get Fortunate With His NYC Legal Trial Juror Pool?” [Newsweek]. • Sadly, I can’t get previous the paywall now. The thought is that the jury is stuffed with professionals, who will subsequently apply their essential pondering expertise and actually dig into the element. Effectively, perhaps (and all it takes is one holdout). That stated:

Lawyer: Are you able to be obejctive?

Me: Completely!

Lawyer: *Selecting up large stack of papers* I’ve a few of your tweets right here.

Me: Superior!

Lawyer: It says, “Donald Trump is a fetid, rotting, mango.”

Me: Yep!

Lawyer: And right here you stated, “The one distinction between Donald…

— Machine Pun Kelly 🇺🇦 (@KellyScaletta) April 19, 2024

Trump (R) (Merchan/Bragg): “How massive components of Trump’s trial are enjoying out within the shadows” [Politico]. “Behind the scenes, a maze of arcane guidelines and archaic methods has made it nearly unimaginable for the media — and the general public — to entry key motions and pretrial rulings in actual time. New York’s docketing practices haven’t been up to date for the digital age. The choose, Justice Juan Merchan, has imposed insurance policies that pressure days and even weeks of delays earlier than essential paperwork change into public. After they do, they’ve been topic to a heavy, court-imposed redaction course of. And Merchan steadily makes use of e mail to speak with Trump’s protection legal professionals and the prosecutors from Manhattan District Legal professional Alvin Bragg’s workplace. That’s led to a ballooning set of off-the-book messages which are shielded from the general public. The result’s that some of the consequential chapters of American historical past is being drafted with lacking pages and invisible ink. ‘Particularly in a case like this, the place 48 hours can flip information into historical past, that’s not acceptable,’ stated Stephen Gillers, a professor at New York College regulation faculty who focuses on authorized ethics. He described the redaction requirement specifically as an obstacle to public entry. ‘The choose, with a accountability to make the general public knowledgeable, ought to have made it simpler,’ Gillers stated, ‘and so ought to Bragg.’” • How handy.

* * *

Trump (R) (Engoron/James): “New York choose units new situations on Trump’s civil fraud bond” [Axios]. “New York Decide Arthur Engoron on Monday accepted the $175 million bond former President Trump posted to enchantment his civil fraud case, however the choose imposed a number of new situations to make sure enough money funds stay accessible…. Whereas Engoron allowed the bond to face, Trump and Knight Specialty Insurance coverage Firm agreed to satisfy a number of new necessities, per a spokesperson from the New York State Legal professional Normal’s workplace. These embrace that Knight Specialty Insurance coverage Firm will retain “unique management” of the $175 million account, and the corporate and Trump will present a month-to-month account assertion certifying that there are enough money funds for the bond. Knight Specialty Insurance coverage Firm has agreed to designate an agent of course of in New York The settlement between the corporate and Trump can also’t be amended with out court docket approval.”

Trump (R) (Chutkan/Smith): “How Trump might win on the Supreme Courtroom even when his broad immunity argument is rejected” [NBC]. “At problem within the high-stakes showdown Thursday is whether or not Trump’s felony fees over his try and overturn the 2020 election outcomes must be dismissed based mostly on a broad declare of immunity. Even when the court docket rejects that daring argument, it might nonetheless ship the case again to Washington-based U.S. District Courtroom Decide Tanya Chutkan for extra proceedings on whether or not a few of Trump’s actions are insulated from prosecution With the case, initially scheduled for trial in March, already tormented by delays, such a ruling would additional imperil the probabilities of any trial being concluded earlier than November’s election.

Trump (R) (McAffee/Willis): “Fulton choose dismisses 6 of 41 counts in Trump election interference indictment’ [Atlanta Journal-Constitution]. “All the fees that have been dismissed relate to allegations that defendants illegally urged Georgia elected officers, together with Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger, then-Home Speaker David Ralston and members of the Normal Meeting to violate their oaths of workplace by convening a particular session of the Legislature to nominate pro-Trump electors…. McAfee stated the six counts include ‘all of the important parts of the crimes’ however don’t present sufficient element relating to the alleged felonies dedicated. ‘They don’t give the defendants sufficient data to arrange their defenses intelligently,’ he added.”… The indictment handed up in August contained 41 felony counts; there are actually 35 counts that stay. Trump continues to be dealing with 10 felony counts, down from the 13 initially filed in opposition to him. Monday’s resolution left intact the majority of Fulton County’s sweeping racketeering case in opposition to the previous president and his allies. It appeared McAfee wished to make that clear in his order when he wrote, ‘This doesn’t imply all the indictment is dismissed.’” • 

* * *

Biden (D): “Joe Biden Is Now Favourite Over Donald Trump in 4 Swing States” [Newsweek]. “Based on Polymarket, a web-based prediction platform the place customers can place sure or no bets on world occasions, the incumbent president will beat Trump, the previous president and presumptive Republican nominee, in November’s vote in Pennsylvania (58 % to 42 %), Nevada (58 % to 41 %), Michigan (57 % to 44 %) and Wisconsin (52 % to 47 %.)” Oh. A prediction platform. Anyhow: “Final month, the Biden marketing campaign introduced plans to open 44 discipline workplaces in Wisconsin. The marketing campaign has opened 14 workplaces in Pennsylvania, and introduced plans to open 30 workplaces in Michigan. Trump’s marketing campaign has appeared much less vocal in regards to the intricacies of its marketing campaign technique.” • The polls are principally Brownian movement at this level, particularly the State ones which are usually rare and have large margins of error. However 14 in PA appears mild to me. Is PA actually going to be that simple? OTOH, 30 in MI is clearly a response to the “Uncommitted” motion.

* * *

Kennedy (I): “Kornacki: Low Curiosity within the 2024 Election a Vulnerability for Trump” [RealClearPolitics] “What the Trump people have been hoping is RFK, third-party candidates, they gobble up some votes and Trump doesn’t must get to 50%. However look what occurs after we add RFK’s identify to the combination. All of a sudden, we have now a brand new chief. Joe Biden, 39%; Donald Trump, 37%. There’s Kennedy getting 13%. In different phrases, we’re seeing by a greater than 2:1 margin, it’s Trump voters who’re flipping over to Kennedy on this situation, not Biden voters. You see it proper right here. 15% of Trump voters, after we add RFK’s identify to the combination, they go to RFK. Solely 7% of Biden voters. There’s a giant change proper there.” • This shouldn’t be stunning. “Change vs. extra of the identical.” Biden = “the identical.” Each Trump and Kennedy are “change” — Kennedy maybe much more than Trump.

* * *

PA: “Summer season Lee’s major race assessments fallout for critics of the US’s Gaza coverage” [Al Jazeera]. “It was not a well-liked stance to take. Tensions have been working excessive. And but, on October 16, lower than two weeks into Israel’s warfare in Gaza, United States Consultant Summer season Lee joined different progressive Democrats in calling for an quick ceasefire within the Palestinian enclave…. However Lee’s essential view of Israel’s warfare in Gaza has made her a goal within the upcoming US election season. On Tuesday, Lee faces a aggressive major in her district, as a fellow Democrat seeks to unseat her for being too ‘excessive.’ Patel has seized on criticism that Lee’s rhetoric has been reckless. After the warfare broke out on October 7, 40 rabbis and cantors within the Pittsburgh space launched a letter criticising Lee’s response. In March, they launched a second letter accusing Lee of ‘divisive rhetoric’ that they ‘perceived as overtly anti-Semitic.’ Patel has echoed that condemnation, highlighting the chance of anti-Semitism within the shadow of the warfare. However Lee has stood her floor, arguing that criticism of Israel will not be the identical as anti-Semitism. ‘We’ve to be clear that no authorities, no nation is above critique,’ Lee stated. ‘The way in which that [Israeli Prime Minister] Benjamin Netanyahu has carried out this warfare, it’s indefensible.’” • Presumably AIPAC is airdropping palettes of money into the district.

PA: “The Jewish vote might play an enormous position in 2024. Pennsylvania is about to place up an early check” [NBC]. “Conversations with greater than 30 political strategists, activists and voters outlined how that [post-October 7] pressure has put Jewish voters in an unfamiliar spot forward of the 2024 elections: on the entrance traces of the struggle for management of the White Home and Congress. Nowhere is that extra obvious than in Pennsylvania, the swing state with the biggest Jewish inhabitants — about 300,000 voting-age Jews in a state President Joe Biden received by roughly 80,000 votes in 2020. What’s extra, the congressional district that features Squirrel Hill includes a major Tuesday that’s among the many first electoral assessments of sentiment on each side of the battle in Gaza and issues over rising antisemitism within the U.S. Democratic Rep. Summer season Lee, a ‘squad’-aligned progressive essential of Israel’s dealing with of the warfare and one of many first lawmakers to name for a cease-fire final yr, will face Bhavini Patel, an Edgewood Borough Council member who has painted Lee’s advocacy as dangerous to Biden’s re-election possibilities and out of step along with her district.” And: “Most Jewish voters in Squirrel Hill — and nationally — align with the Democratic Get together. A Pew Analysis Middle survey launched this month discovered 69% of Jews leaning Democratic, whereas 29% aligned Republican. However Republicans aren’t searching for an enormous defection. GOP strategists and Republicans concerned in Jewish outreach expressed confidence that Democratic divisions over Israel will assist transfer a small however doubtlessly important variety of Jewish voters into their camp in battleground states like Pennsylvania, Nevada and Arizona. They pointed to surveys exhibiting President Donald Trump’s improved efficiency amongst Jews in 2020, in contrast along with his 2016 race, as proof of a sluggish shift that might proceed.

* * *

On third events:

Look, I do know we reside in a Goldfish Society that forgets its complete world each quarter-hour.

Nevertheless, it takes one second to do a Google search of phrases like “McCarthy 1968,” “Reagan 1976,” “Kennedy 1980,” “Buchanan 1992.”

Individuals do not must be this silly. They select to be. https://t.co/yq3XHcXbV2

— David Sirota (@davidsirota) April 19, 2024

Democrats en Déshabillé

“The GOP’s Professional-Russia Caucus Misplaced. Now Ukraine Has to Win.” [Anne Applebaum, The Atlantic]. “It’s not too late, as a result of it’s by no means too late. No outcomes are ever preordained, nothing is ever over, and you’ll at all times have an effect on what occurs tomorrow by making the proper selections right now.” • Wowsers. Applebaum’s profession.

Realignment and Legitimacy

“Down on Legislation” [Boston Review]. “Schmitt presciently grasped that the event of state intervention within the capitalist economic system inevitably transforms the authorized system by producing open-ended norms, obscure delegations of authority to administrative companies, and heightened bureaucratic and judicial discretion. And he understood the conflicts between these authorized traits and conventional liberal notions of the regulation, and the methods by which these conflicts create limitless invites for the unbridled train of energy. As an alternative of contemplating how we would guarantee that the interventionist state maintains constancy to the indispensable attainments of liberal legality, nonetheless, Schmitt merely thought-about these traits to be proof for the prevalence of a right-wing dictatorship freed from authorized restraint.” • Effectively price a learn.

Pandemics

“I’m in earnest — I can’t equivocate — I can’t excuse — I can’t retreat a single inch — AND I WILL BE HEARD.” –William Lloyd Garrison

Covid Assets, United States (Nationwide): Transmission (CDC); Wastewater (CDC, Biobot; consists of many counties; Wastewater Scan, consists of drilldown by zip); Variants (CDC; Walgreens); “Iowa COVID-19 Tracker” (in IA, however nationwide knowledge). “An infection Management, Emergency Administration, Security, and Normal Ideas” (particularly on hospitalization by metropolis).

Lambert right here: Readers, thanks for the collective effort. To replace any entry, do be at liberty to contact me on the tackle given with the crops. Please put “COVID” within the topic line. Thanks!

Assets, United States (Native): AK (dashboard); AL (dashboard); AR (dashboard); AZ (dashboard); CA (dashboard; Marin, dashboard; Stanford, wastewater; Oakland, wastewater); CO (dashboard; wastewater); CT (dashboard); DE (dashboard); FL (wastewater); GA (wastewater); HI (dashboard); IA (wastewater experiences); ID (dashboard, Boise; dashboard, wastewater, Central Idaho; wastewater, Coeur d’Alene; dashboard, Spokane County); IL (wastewater); IN (dashboard); KS (dashboard; wastewater, Lawrence); KY (dashboard, Louisville); LA (dashboard); MA (wastewater); MD (dashboard); ME (dashboard); MI (wastewater; wastewater); MN (dashboard); MO (wastewater); MS (dashboard); MT (dashboard); NC (dashboard); ND (dashboard; wastewater); NE (dashboard); NH (wastewater); NJ (dashboard); NM (dashboard); NV (dashboard; wastewater, Southern NV); NY (dashboard); OH (dashboard); OK (dashboard); OR (dashboard); PA (dashboard); RI (dashboard); SC (dashboard); SD (dashboard); TN (dashboard); TX (dashboard); UT (wastewater); VA (dashboard); VT (dashboard); WA (dashboard; dashboard); WI (wastewater); WV (wastewater); WY (wastewater).

Assets, Canada (Nationwide): Wastewater (Authorities of Canada).

Assets, Canada (Provincial): ON (wastewater); QC (les eaux usées); BC (wastewater); BC, Vancouver (wastewater).

Hat tricks to useful readers: Alexis, anon (2), Art_DogCT, B24S, CanCyn, ChiGal, Chuck L, Festoonic, FM, FreeMarketApologist (4), Gumbo, hop2it, JB, JEHR, JF, JL Joe, John, JM (10), JustAnotherVolunteer, JW, KatieBird, LL, Michael King, KF, LaRuse, mrsyk, MT, MT_Wild, otisyves, Petal (6), RK (2), RL, RM, Rod, sq. coats (11), tennesseewaltzer, Tom B., Utah, Bob White (3).

Keep secure on the market!

Airborne Transmission

College of Toronto’s Institute of Pandemics does the proper factor:

Large kudos to @DFisman and group for making the inaugural @UofT_Pandemics @UofT_dlsph symposium at Hart Home with maybe the most effective indoor air high quality I’ve come throughout.
Packed corridor and CO2 measurement of 615! Big HEPA filters throughout, open doorways and home windows and excessive ceilings! pic.twitter.com/LtQLLwKxMm

— Sabina Vohra-Miller (@SabiVM) April 18, 2024

However in the meantime in Toronto:

Appears like there is a push to eliminate no matter masking guidelines are left in Toronto space hospitals. Undecided if that is smart, particularly in acute care areas, most cancers clinics, the place an infection danger is highest. As we have seen many occasions, right now’s lull simply turns into subsequent week’s surge. pic.twitter.com/N1ODQIcVwa

— Kashif Pirzada, MD (@KashPrime) April 19, 2024

Airborne Transmission: Monkeypox

“Mpox, smallpox and the growing menace of orthopoxvirus epidemics” [C Raina MacIntyre, Global Biosecurity]. “We must be on excessive alert for orthopoxvirus epidemics due to massive, ongoing epidemics of mpox within the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC). Mpox has been resurgent within the African continent in nations like Nigeria and DRC since 2017, the place the an infection is endemic in animals and may be zoonotic or human-to-human transmitted. It remained a low precedence till the 2022 epidemic which affected non-endemic, high-income nations in Europe and the Americas….. Essentially the most regarding state of affairs is the clade I Mpox epidemic in Kamituga, DRC. From January to November 2023 the World Well being Group reported 12,569 suspected mpox circumstances in DRC, with a 4.6% case fatality charge, (4) with 70% of the circumstances and 88% of deaths are in youngsters. (5) Lower than 10% of those have been examined by PCR, on account of low diagnostic capability in DRC. The predominance of youngsters within the DRC epidemic suggests transmission could also be respiratory. Actually, smallpox and mpox are respiratory viruses, and mpox has been recognized in ambient air.”

Sequelae: Covid

“Useful connectivity underlying cognitive and psychiatric signs in post-COVID-19 syndrome: is anosognosia a key determinant?” [Brain Communications (LawnDart)]. N = 102. From the Summary: “ (i.e. ) could possibly be a key issue for distinguishing between neuropsychological post-COVID-19 situation phenotypes. On this context, the 2-fold intention of the current research was to (i) set up the prevalence of anosognosia for reminiscence impairment, based on the severity of the an infection within the acute part and (ii) decide whether or not anosognosic sufferers with post-COVID syndrome have a distinct cognitive and psychiatric profile from nosognosic sufferers, with related variations in mind practical connectivity.” After a battery of assessments: “Solely 15.6% of sufferers who introduced delicate illness displayed anosognosia for reminiscence dysfunction, in contrast with 32.4% of sufferers with average presentation and 34.8% of sufferers with extreme illness. In contrast with nosognosic sufferers, these with anosognosia for reminiscence dysfunction carried out considerably extra poorly on goal cognitive and olfactory measures. Against this, they gave considerably extra optimistic subjective assessments of their high quality of life, psychiatric standing and fatigue. Curiously, the proportion of sufferers exhibiting an absence of consciousness of olfactory deficits was considerably larger within the anosognosic group.” • Alert reader LawnDart compiled the next notes:

These are notes that I compiled from varied sources in an effort to higher perceive my father’s psychological well being situations, and the components which can be concerned in these. These notes outline the scope and limits of my data on these topics.

Anosognosia: notes through Wikipedia, Cleveland Clinic, NIH, and many others.. (I’ve re-written and re-worded these for my very own advantage of understanding, so I’m not instantly citing sources)

Anosognosia; GR: to not know a illness [literally, a person who is ill does not know that they are ill?]

Anosognosia (noun):.

Anosognosia generally happens with schizophrenia, bipolar dysfunction, Alzheimer’s, and in stroke victims, the place the processing of the data that offers us self-awareness or perception is hindered by harm to (or abnormalities of) the frontal lobe of the mind. This harm might consequence within the lack of the power to soak up new data that may alter or change the notion of 1’s self. The mind can not acknowledge the well being situations that one has; it can not acknowledge or course of what the senses inform it or join these to an issue.

Anosognosia will not be static: self-awareness or perception could also be current at some occasions however not throughout others—it might come and go. It might have an effect on an individual’s consciousness of their very own deficits, difficulties, or issues involving judgement, feelings, reminiscence, government operate (skill to make and/or execute plans), language expertise, and motor-abilities. An individual with the situation is unaware of their very own psychological well being situation or are unable to simply accept it, and will attempt to cover-up or rationalize what they can’t perceive. The mind, mind, doesn’t course of the truth that its ideas don’t replicate actuality, leading to inappropriate moods or behaviors. This inaccurate perception is as actual and convincing as “regular” perception, and this misperception may cause battle with others and result in anxiousness.

Close to reminiscence, an individual with anosognosia will not be conscious of loss or impairment of reminiscence, or might insist that no memory-problem exists. An individual with anosognosia might confabulate or mislead fill within the gaps of their reminiscence, gaps which the thoughts can not clarify or perceive, with false reminiscences.

. An individual in denial rejects or avoids accepting actuality as a result of it’s disagreeable or distressing. An individual with anosognosia can not acknowledge the truth of an issue in any respect: anosognosia is anatomical in origin, denial is psychological. Anosognosia will not be a matter of motive, mind, or will, however of biology.

To acknowledge anosognosia, one should see that one other is stricken by a situation that has a big affect on their life, and that this one that is stricken can not acknowledge that there’s a drawback.

Yikes. “Anosognosia” is the phrase of the day, for positive.

Elite Maleficence

I like this connotation of “Airborne”:

Convincing the @WHO of the airborne nature of COVID-19 was an actual battle for many who set out on this path. Because of them for his or her pugnacity and laborious work. pic.twitter.com/umv9WPQ1bh

— LET’S AIR / NOUS AÉRONS (@nousaerons) April 21, 2024

Rolling up sleeves and scrubbing my fingers for the subsequent HICPAC assembly:

EDITORIAL: It’s Time To Roll Again All Mitigations In Hospitals: Gloves, Masks, Goggles, Clear Flooring, New Needles, Clear Scalpels, All the pieces. If We Need To Win The Warfare On Immunity Debt, Docs Should Do Their Obligation And Infect Everybody With All the pieces All The Time. pic.twitter.com/2GRZGc2Kz8

— The Vertlartnic (@TheVertlartnic) April 19, 2024

TABLE 1: Day by day Covid Charts

LEGEND

1) ★ for charts new right now; all others aren’t up to date.

2) For a full-size/full-resolution picture, Command-click (MacOS) or right-click (Home windows) on the chart thumbnail and “open picture in new tab.”

NOTES

[1] (Biobot) Our curve has now flattened out at a stage far above valleys beneath Trump. Not an amazing victory. Notice additionally the world “beneath the curve,” apart from peaks. That space is bigger beneath Biden than beneath Trump, and it appears to be rising steadily if inconsistently.

[2] (Biobot) No backward revisons….

[3] (CDC Variants) As of Could 11, genomic surveillance knowledge shall be reported biweekly, based mostly on the supply of optimistic check specimens.” “Biweeekly: 1. occurring each two weeks. 2. occurring twice every week; semiweekly.” Appears like CDC has chosen sense #1. In essence, they’re telling us variants are nothing to fret about. Time will inform.

[4] (ER) CDC appears to have killed this off, for the reason that hyperlink is damaged, I believe in favor of this factor. I’ll attempt to verify. UPDATE Sure, go away it to CDC to kill a web page, after which announce it was archived a day later. And heaven forfend CDC ought to clarify the place to go to get equal knowledge, if any. I preferred the ER knowledge, as a result of it appeared actually laborious to recreation.

[5] (Hospitalization: NY) Flattening out to a non-zero baseline. I suppose to a tame epidemiologist it appears to be like like “endemicity,” however to me it appears to be like like one other tranche of lethality.

[6] (Hospitalization: CDC) Nonetheless down. “Maps, charts, and knowledge offered by CDC, updates weekly for the earlier MMWR week (Sunday-Saturday) on Thursdays (Deaths, Emergency Division Visits, Take a look at Positivity) and weekly the next Mondays (Hospitalizations) by 8 pm ET†”.

[7] (Walgreens) Leveling out.

[8] (Cleveland) Slight uptrend.

[9] (Vacationers: Posivitity) Uptick.

[10] (Vacationers: Variants) JN.1 dominates completely.

[11] Appears just like the Instances isn’t reporting loss of life knowledge any extra? Possibly I would like to return to The Economist….

Stats Watch

The Economic system: “United States Chicago Fed Nationwide Exercise Index” [Trading Economics]. “The Chicago Fed Nationwide Exercise Index rose to +0.15 in March 2024 from an upwardly revised +0.09 in February, barely exceeding market expectations of +0.09. It marked the very best studying since final November….”

Transport: “The 100-year-old railway Mexico hopes will rival the Panama Canal” [The Week]. “The revival of the railway line implies that a ship might “unload its cargo from one facet, ship it by rail throughout the Isthmus, and reload it again onto one other ship on the opposite facet”, thereby offering a brand new route by way of which worldwide freight might circulation, defined Mexico Information Day by day…. The $2.8 billion venture has been “buoyed” by Mexico’s more and more vital buying and selling relationship with the US; the nation ‘surpassed China this yr to change into the US’s high buying and selling companion’, stated The Day by day Upside. On condition that America’s relationship with China stays ‘decidedly frosty’, Mexico can ‘really feel safe in its new place for some time longer’. Droughts are additionally placing strain on the canal. Final yr the key delivery route, which depends on recent water for its operation, confronted its worst drought on file, inflicting important delays.” • Fascinating, although I’d prefer to see some numbers. A Panamax isn’t that large, however how lengthy is a doublestack practice that takes all its containers?

As we speak’s Worry & Greed Index: 34 Worry (earlier shut: 31 Worry) [CNN]. One week in the past: 39 (Impartial). (0 is Excessive Worry; 100 is Excessive Greed). Final up to date Apr 22 at 12:48:27 PM ET.

Rapture Index: Closes unchanged [Rapture Ready]. File Excessive, October 10, 2016: 189. Present: 188. (Keep in mind that bringing on the Rapture is good.) • Chook flu not a priority, apparently. And I hate even to go right here, however the “Tribulation Temple” class is a mere 3. If Tribulation Temple = Third Temple = no matter temple it’s that the Purple Heifer loons wish to construct, then the Rapture Index is making a name, and it’s saying “Don’t fear in regards to the Purple Heifers.”

Ebook Nook

Not improper:

The Gallery

Flat:

Not flat!

What ambition, to color rain!

Groves of Academe

Yale:

“Police storm Yale College’s campus with riot gear, 47 arrested as a whole lot stage anti-Israel protest” [New York Post]. “Police clad in riot gear swarmed Yale College’s Connecticut campus early Monday and arrested dozens of scholars who refused to filter from an anti-Israel protest encampment. Not less than 47 protesters have been cuffed and hauled away from the Ivy League’s New Haven campus on shuttle buses, a college spokesperson confirmed to The Publish. They have been slapped with trespassing summons — and shall be referred for Yale disciplinary motion, which can embrace suspensions, the rep added…. It comes after protests at Yale turned violent over the weekend when a Jewish scholar journalist reporting on an encampment, which was erected Friday, was stabbed within the eye with a Palestinian flag Saturday evening.” • I’d need extra element on the incident.

Columbia:

Information you need to use:

A thread of superb suggestions.

Class Warfare

“When the German left was expropriating princes” [When the German Left was expropriating the princes]. “Simply over a century in the past, within the spring of 1924, the German left launched an uphill battle to redistribute the wealth of the Hohenzollerns, the ruling household who had misplaced energy with the abdication of Wilhelm II and the creation of the Weimar Republic in 1919. Wealthy in classes for right now, this little-known episode deserves to be remembered. It illustrates the power of elites to make use of the language of the regulation to perpetuate their privileges, whatever the scale of their wealth or the significance of collective wants. Yesterday, it was the reconstruction of European societies ravaged by warfare; right now, it’s the new social and climatic challenges…. In Austria, the Habsburgs’ imperial estates had change into group property with out compensation. In Germany, nonetheless, the Hohenzollerns managed to retain their properties (over 100,000 hectares of land, a dozen castles, artworks galore, and many others). No federal redistribution measures have been adopted…. The Communists of the KPD, finally adopted by the Social Democrats (SPD), launched a invoice to expropriate the princes for the good thing about the poorest. They gathered over 12 million signatures in 1925, in what stays to this present day the biggest petition in German historical past. The regulation was about to be handed, however the vagueness of the constitutional wording on compensation allowed President Hindenburg to demand a constitutional revision beforehand. The June 1926 referendum attracted 16 million voters (90% in favor of expropriation). Nevertheless, the turnout was barely beneath the 50% threshold required to amend the structure. By calling for abstention and denouncing the dangers {that a} Communist victory would finally pose for small and medium-sized property house owners, the German proper and huge landowners (very influential within the east of the nation), allied with the middle and the Nazis (who opposed class battle and advocated expropriating Jews who had arrived within the nation since 1914), succeeded in blocking the method and stopping the left-wing union that might then have been put in place.” •

I discover this mannequin interesting up to some extent:

That is true even for essentially the most severe of points. It is all social contagion, all individuals imitating position fashions on the hubs.

The hopeless time period ‘the individuals’ would not seize this clumpiness in anyway. /2

— Henry Madison (@RageSheen) April 22, 2024

How hubs are created _{MR SUBLIMINAL Capital accumulation} appears, nonetheless, underspecified

Information of the Wired

“Webster’s Dictionary 1828: Annotated” [JSTOR]. “Noah Webster’s roles within the formation of the early United States have been manifold: editor of the Federalist Papers, proprietor and editor of the primary American day by day newspaper, textbook creator, a founding father of Amherst School, promoter of the primary US copyright legal guidelines, and creator of one of many first works on epidemiology, utilized by nineteenth-century medical faculties. However his 1828 dictionary is what he’s remembered for, coming at an amazing private price: twenty-one years invested, and a lifelong battle with debt. In his preface to the three-volume work, he writes of his hopes that the dictionary will end in his fellow Individuals’ “enchancment and their happiness; and for the continued improve of the wealth, the educational, the ethical and spiritual elevation of character, and the glory of my nation.’” • Webster edited the Federalist Papers?! What a tremendous true reality. And I ponder what his epidemiology e book has to say about airborne transmission.

Errors (1): “The ‘blem wit’ error messages” [The Register]. “Most of [the messages] have been verified in a method or one other; nonetheless I as soon as collected the pleasant however unverified ‘Shut her down, Clancy, she’s a-pumping mud.’… In these days, although, most error message have been rather less inventive. The rationale? Reminiscence was costly. So a few of them have been terse. I imply rlly trs… My private favourite continues to be one from the early 90s. And it was about as trs as they get: “blem wit”….. Sadly, the very drawback that triggered the error message had the unlucky facet impact of screwing up the power of DOS to jot down to the display. So solely part of the error message was truly written to the display. What was that error message? ‘There’s a professionalblem with the Reminiscence Management Block for the shell.” • Oh.

Errors (2):

Errors (3):

Contact data for crops: Readers, be at liberty to contact me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, to (a) learn the way to ship me a examine in case you are allergic to PayPal and (b) to learn the way to ship me pictures of crops. Greens are effective! Fungi, lichen, and coral are deemed to be honorary crops! In order for you your deal with to look as a credit score, please place it firstly of your mail in parentheses: (thus). In any other case, I’ll anonymize through the use of your initials. See the earlier Water Cooler (with plant) right here. From SV:

SV writes: “Western Cape, South Africa, Kirstenbosch Botanical Gardens.”

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