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Homeeconomics2:00PM Water Cooler 3/11/2024 | bare capitalism

2:00PM Water Cooler 3/11/2024 | bare capitalism

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By Lambert Strether of Corrente.

Affected person readers, I rigorously cleared my calendar for lunch in the present day (which is why Conor is posting, and never me; thanks Conor). Submit-lunch, I had a transport debacle and mistook the time as a result of [family blogging] time change, which I nonetheless not have gotten my head round.

On the intense facet, we at the moment are within the midst of the 2024 Water Cooler fundraiser. My purpose is 400 donors; thus far, now we have 100 127 (thanks, and please maintain them coming), however which means we’re operating far, far behind final 12 months. Please do not forget that your 2024 donations reward work that I’ve already accomplished in 2023, and click on the donate button on the backside of the web page.

So a nearly non-existent Water Cooler would possibly function an object lesson? Of a potential and extremely unlucky future? When you may give rather a lot, please give rather a lot. When you may give somewhat, please give it somewhat. And when you’ve been fortunate this 12 months, please take into account paying it ahead by donating within the place of those that can’t. Thanks!

Extra quickly! –lambert UPDATE And extra quickly!

Chicken Music of the Day

Stunning Nuthatchม Nationwide Freeway 313, Arunachal Pradesh, IN (28.237, 95.874), Decrease Dibang Valley, Arunachal Pradesh, India

* * *

Search for the Helpers

Alert reader reify99 sends within the following:

North Haven Island, Maine

Residing on an island of 300 folks often put on a couple of hat. The tendency is for everybody to develop into a helper.

Even when you don’t significantly like your neighbor you’ll assist him in a disaster.

And it’s not talked about however you will get your canine’s nails trimmed on the church (or maladies recognized) when the vet comes each couple of weeks from the mainland.

Some readers requested for one thing desk of contents-like, so listed here are a couple of highlights amidst the density:

Excessive- and Lowlights

(1) CDC’s inside “Mission Firstline” Covid steering differs from their public steering.

(2) R.I.P Akira Toriyama, creator of ‘Dragon Ball.’

(3) Marisol and her lineage.

Politics

“So lots of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are in reality a rational administration of symbolic capital.” –Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles

The Constitutional Order (Riot)

“Joe Biden, D.C. Judges Strain SCOTUS on J6” [Declassified with Julie Kelly]. “With six justices—John Roberts, Neil Gorsuch, Brett Kavanaugh, Sonia Sotomayor, Elena Kagan, and Ketanji Brown Jackson—seated instantly in entrance of him [at the SOTU], Biden reiterated his warped view of the occasions of January 6 in an effort to salvage the crumbling storyline… ‘The insurrectionists weren’t patriots. That they had come to cease the peaceable switch of energy, to overturn the desire of the folks.’ In different phrases, if SCOTUS overturns how the DOJ used 1512(c)(2) [“obstruction of an official proceeding”], ensuing within the evisceration of the commonest felony related to the ‘riot,’ justices will rule on the facet of People who tried to homicide ‘democracy’ on January 6. Justices who vote to reverse 1512(c)(2) primarily help the confederacy. Not precisely a delicate ultimatum.” Nonetheless not clear to me why insurrectionists weren’t charged with riot. Extra: “In granting early launch for 2 J6ers convicted of 1512(c)(2), Beryl Howell, the previous chief decide of the district court docket, final week cautioned that defendants ‘could also be overly optimistic that the Supreme Court docket’s decision of [Fischer v. USA, the case that will be heard by the highest court on April 16,] could also be favorable’ to their case.’… Howell famous that every one of her colleagues besides one endorsed the federal government’s use of obstruction of an official continuing in J6 instances over the previous three years; in a footnote, Howell listed instances tied to 14 judges—from Trump appointees all the way down to Reagan appointees in addition to the present chief decide—who denied motions to dismiss the obstruction depend. (The overall variety of judges who consented to the federal government’s interpretation of 1512(c)(2) is 17.) Howell’s message to SCOTUS was clear: the popularity of greater than a dozen federal judges within the nation’s capital is at stake. Don’t do it.” • Yikes.

“The Trump marketing campaign paid an skilled $750,000 to search out fraud within the 2020 election, just for him to dismiss their complaints in minutes” [Business Insider]. “Software program engineer Ken Block instructed Enterprise Insider forward of the discharge of his forthcoming guide “Disproven,” that he was paid about $750,000 to conduct analysis that will confirm the existence of mass voter fraud in swing states, together with Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. Regardless of the huge payday, Block couldn’t discover any. He even disproved among the claims of voter fraud inside minutes, pointing to incomplete information that was wrongfully interpreted as fraudulent, that voters with the identical identify had been counted as duplicate votes, and that information for mail-in ballots had been wrongly flagged. Whereas Block mentioned he wasn’t pressured to misrepresent his findings, Trump’s group didn’t wish to hear it when he introduced them information the fraud couldn’t be substantiated. In a single occasion, Block confirmed that he proved one of many claims behind a Trump group lawsuit in Pennsylvania was fallacious, which instantly ended the convention name he was on. Representatives for Trump didn’t instantly reply to a request for remark from Enterprise Insider. All instructed, Block discovered fewer than 200 duplicate mail-in poll votes had been fraudulently forged from the entire swing states mixed, he wrote in a latest op-ed recounting his expertise in AZ Central.”

2024

Lower than a 12 months to go!

* * *

“Trump’s Jaw-Dropping Reward For Nazi Chief Adolf Hitler Revealed By Ex-Chief of Employees John Kelly” [Mediate]. “Based on feedback Kelly made for Sciutto’s guide ‘The Return of Nice Powers’ that comes out Tuesday, Trump began by saying Hitler ‘did some good issues’ and went on from there: ‘He mentioned, ‘Nicely, however Hitler did some good issues.’ I mentioned, ‘Nicely, what?’ And he mentioned, ‘Nicely, [Hitler] rebuilt the economic system.’ However what did he do with that rebuilt economic system? He turned it towards his personal folks and towards the world. And I mentioned, ‘Sir, you’ll be able to by no means say something good concerning the man. Nothing,” Kelly recounted. ‘I imply, Mussolini was an excellent man compared.’” • Hmm.

* * *

“Lara Trump guarantees authorized poll harvesting to be a part of new RNC technique” [Washington Examiner]. “Newly-elected Republican Nationwide Committee co-chair Lara Trump [(!!!)] mentioned it’s time for the RNC to up its recreation and compete with extra technique towards the Democrats…. ‘Sadly, we don’t have someday of voting, we don’t have paper ballots, we don’t have voter ID in all places. So now we have to play the hand that we’re dealt,’ Trump mentioned, noting the significance of early voting and mail-in voting the place potential. ‘That means, now we have votes banked as we head into Election Day, and we’re not enjoying atone for Nov. 5 with the Democrats.’” • I don’t perceive in what sense votes are “banked,” until that implies that voters can’t react to new info between once they voted and election day — which is cause sufficient to finish the follow.

* * *

“Biden’s State of the Union Tackle Strikes Marketing campaign Tone” [RealClearPolitics]. “Ultimately, the speech was an us-vs.-them routine, extra pointed in its identification of sophistication and wealth than Biden has beforehand embraced. Progressive pollsters who huddled with the White Home insisted that type of rhetoric would result in a lift within the polls. Anticipating a second time period, Biden adopted the argument throughout what might be his most seen speech earlier than the election.” • Possibly. I don’t assume Biden can re-introduce himself to the voters as a category warrior.

“Nervous about November? Cease listening to pundits and begin defending the president” [Salon]. “Even though we’ve been dwelling in a world during which a small group of authoritarians surrounding Donald Trump proceed to gaslight and assault the remainder of us, there are nonetheless pundits and operatives who haven’t tailored their methods and techniques to these realities. They view each single factor mentioned by the abusers as one thing we have to take into account and we have to be afraid of. These conversations find yourself fueling non-public conversations on the cocktail events throughout Washington, during which in any other case well-meaning staffers, consultants and strategists focus on and dissect these assaults to the purpose the place they end in massive parts of the progressive infrastructure seizing up, not sure of how you can react and afraid that no matter they do would be the factor that can propel Trump again to the White Home.” • Concept: Progressives ought to by no means go to cocktail events, and will by no means hearken to those that do?

* * *

Kennedy (I):

blockquote class=”twitter-tweet”>

The federal authorities will do something to infringe upon your proper to privateness or your proper to query the institution narrative. They will label you a “home extremist” to justify the surveillance state. That stops with me. https://t.co/5Zq3phrBH9

— Robert F. Kennedy Jr (@RobertKennedyJr) March 7, 2024

And he’s not fallacious.

Realignment and Legitimacy

“America’s election chiefs are frightened AI is coming for them” [Politico]. “A false name from a secretary of state telling ballot employees they aren’t wanted on Election Day. A faux video of a state election director shredding ballots earlier than they’re counted. An e mail despatched to a county election official attempting to phish logins to its voter database. Election officers fear that the rise of generative AI makes this type of assault on the democratic course of even simpler forward of the November election — they usually’re on the lookout for methods to fight it. Election employees are uniquely susceptible targets: They’re obscure sufficient that no person is aware of who they are surely, so not like a faux of a extra outstanding determine — like Joe Biden or Donald Trump — folks is probably not looking out for one thing that appears off. On the similar time, they’re essential sufficient to faux and simply public sufficient that it’d be simple to do. Mix that with the truth that election officers are nonetheless broadly trusted by most People — however don’t have a method to successfully attain their voters — a well-executed faux of them might be extremely harmful however exhausting to counter.” • I can see this narrative coming a mile off, as a result of the origin of the fakes shall be fully unclear, and we’ll need to depend on the spooks to, nicely, decide the legitimacy of the election, which is what this boils all the way down to (and what the spooks would very a lot love to do).

#COVID19

“I’m in earnest — I cannot equivocate — I cannot excuse — I cannot retreat a single inch — AND I WILL BE HEARD.” –William Lloyd Garrison

Sources, United States (Nationwide): Transmission (CDC); Wastewater (CDC, Biobot; consists of many counties; Wastewater Scan, consists of drilldown by zip); Variants (CDC; Walgreens); “Iowa COVID-19 Tracker” (in IA, however nationwide information). “An infection Management, Emergency Administration, Security, and Common Ideas” (particularly on hospitalization by metropolis).

Lambert right here: Readers, thanks for the collective effort. To replace any entry, do be at liberty to contact me on the handle given with the vegetation. Please put “COVID” within the topic line. Thanks!

Sources, United States (Native): AK (dashboard); AL (dashboard); AR (dashboard); AZ (dashboard); CA (dashboard; Marin, dashboard; Stanford, wastewater; Oakland, wastewater); CO (dashboard; wastewater); CT (dashboard); DE (dashboard); FL (wastewater); GA (wastewater); HI (dashboard); IA (wastewater stories); ID (dashboard, Boise; dashboard, wastewater, Central Idaho; wastewater, Coeur d’Alene; dashboard, Spokane County); IL (wastewater); IN (dashboard); KS (dashboard; wastewater, Lawrence); KY (dashboard, Louisville); LA (dashboard); MA (wastewater); MD (dashboard); ME (dashboard); MI (wastewater; wastewater); MN (dashboard); MO (wastewater); MS (dashboard); MT (dashboard); NC (dashboard); ND (dashboard; wastewater); NE (dashboard); NH (wastewater); NJ (dashboard); NM (dashboard); NV (dashboard; wastewater, Southern NV); NY (dashboard); OH (dashboard); OK (dashboard); OR (dashboard); PA (dashboard); RI (dashboard); SC (dashboard); SD (dashboard); TN (dashboard); TX (dashboard); UT (wastewater); VA (dashboard); VT (dashboard); WA (dashboard; dashboard); WI (wastewater); WV (wastewater); WY (wastewater).

Sources, Canada (Nationwide): Wastewater (Authorities of Canada).

Sources, Canada (Provincial): ON (wastewater); QC (les eaux usées); BC (wastewater); BC, Vancouver (wastewater).

Hat tricks to useful readers: Alexis, anon (2), Art_DogCT, B24S, CanCyn, ChiGal, Chuck L, Festoonic, FM, FreeMarketApologist (4), Gumbo, hop2it, JB, JEHR, JF, JL Joe, John, JM (10), JustAnotherVolunteer, JW, KatieBird, LL, Michael King, KF, LaRuse, mrsyk, MT, MT_Wild, otisyves, Petal (6), RK (2), RL, RM, Rod, sq. coats (11), tennesseewaltzer, Tom B., Utah, Bob White (3).

Keep protected on the market!

* * *

Censorship and Propaganda

When you assume dwelling in concern is dangerous, strive dwelling with out it:

Origins Debate

Marc Johnson is the scientist who collects and research cryptic Covid lineages in wastewater:

The entire thread is price a learn.

Celeb Watch

“Nineties award-winning musician is compelled to cancel gigs after ‘collapsing in a pool of blood’ and being rushed into surgical procedure” [Daily Mail]. • It’s nearly as if there’s some bug going round that’s messing with folks’s vascular techniques. Due to course:

Elite Maleficence

“Mission Firstline Session Plans Matter Fourteen: Asymptomatic Unfold of COVID-19” (PDF) [CDC]. That is an inside CDC coaching doc. Naturally, any point out of aerosols is suppressed; they use the fudge phrase “respiratory droplets” as a substitute. I want I might undergo your entire factor, however from web page 41:

As you’ll be able to see, internally CDC has a complete coaching module dedicated to asymptomatic transmission, which by definition guidelines out fever.

Nonetheless, externally, of their new “someday” public steering, the central focus in on signs, and on fever particularly:

(See NC right here for extra element on the steering). So, as I maintain saying: They know. They only don’t need you to know.

* * *

“STAT readers on new CDC Covid tips, weight reduction medicine and psychological well being, and new psychiatric meds” [STAT]. Feedback on Jha’s article (“makes excellent sense“): “By permitting recognized Covid-positive folks to renew regular life, we shift the burden of Covid prevention to those that are on the highest danger [stochastic eugenicism]. Most high-risk people have been taking far more precautions than the final inhabitants, and might want to enhance these actions. Many really feel unsafe in search of medical care, utilizing public transportation, and going to the grocery retailer. Many people act as if each stranger we encounter might have Covid; our lives rely upon it. As an alternative, our governments ought to deal with low-effort methods to cut back Covid unfold, equivalent to setting requirements for clear indoor air, testing to depart isolation (utilizing freely out there fast antigen checks), providing high-quality masks and recommending them in public indoor settings, and mandating paid sick depart.” • It could certain be good to listen to Jha and the GBD crowd loudly selling “setting requirements for clear indoor air.” One can solely marvel why they don’t.

* * *

TABLE 1: Each day Covid Charts

LEGEND

1) for charts new in the present day; all others should not up to date.

2) For a full-size/full-resolution picture, Command-click (MacOS) or right-click (Home windows) on the chart thumbnail and “open picture in new tab.”

NOTES

[1] (Biobot) Biobot drops, conformant to Walgreen positivity information (if that’s certainly not a knowledge artifact). Notice, nonetheless, the world “underneath the curve,” apart from taking a look at peaks. That space is bigger underneath Biden than underneath Trump, and it appears to be rising steadily if inconsistently.

[2] (Biobot) Regional separation re-emerges.

[3] (CDC Variants) As of Might 11, genomic surveillance information shall be reported biweekly, based mostly on the supply of optimistic take a look at specimens.” “Biweeekly: 1. occurring each two weeks. 2. occurring twice per week; semiweekly.” Appears like CDC has chosen sense #1. In essence, they’re telling us variants are nothing to fret about. Time will inform.

[4] (ER) Doesn’t help Biobot information. “Charts and information supplied by CDC, updates Wednesday by 8am. For the previous 12 months, utilizing a rolling 52-week interval.”

[5] (Hospitalization: NY) Not flattening. (Date for information corrected; it was a glitch.)

[6] (Hospitalization: CDC) Nonetheless down. “Maps, charts, and information supplied by CDC, updates weekly for the earlier MMWR week (Sunday-Saturday) on Thursdays (Deaths, Emergency Division Visits, Check Positivity) and weekly the next Mondays (Hospitalizations) by 8 pm ET†”.

[7] (Walgreens) Leveling out.

[8] (Cleveland) Flattening, in keeping with Biobot information.

[9] (Vacationers: Posivitity) Now up, albeit within the rear view mirror.

[10] (Vacationers: Variants) Backward revisions take away NV.1 information. JN.1 dominates totally.

Stats Watch

There aren’t any official statistics of curiosity in the present day.

* * *

Tech: “You may write long-form articles on X when you pay for Premium+” [Engadget]. “X now permits verified organizations and Premium+ subscribers to publish long-form “Articles.” The function provides a primary text-editing interface that features embedded media and a few textual content formatting choices, like the flexibility to make bulleted lists. It additionally seems that articles may be longer than the 25,000-character restrict at present in place for premium subscribers’ “longer posts” function. Based on my preliminary checks, I hit the character restrict for articles at simply over 100,000 characters or about 15,000 phrases.” • So, Silicon Valley has come full circle and re-invented Blogger. Good job!

Transport: “Supply drone operators say their growths are clearer than ever as hurdles start to fall away. U.S. regulators over the previous 12 months have given drone firms together with Alphabet unit Wing and Zipline permission to fly their units past an operator’s visible line of sight” [Wall Street Journal]. “Liz Younger writes the regulatory clearances are main extra retailers, eating places and healthcare techniques to develop current drone supply and launch pilot applications. Routine use of supply drones within the U.S. has largely eluded operators because the expertise has developed, though it’s extra extensively utilized in another nations. Logistics consultants warning drones nonetheless have an extended method to go earlier than they develop into entrenched in business parcel distribution within the U.S. Price of supply stays a serious concern, and the rising companies could give operators an opportunity to see if each the expertise and the economics can work.”

* * *

As we speak’s Concern & Greed Index: 67 Greed (earlier shut: 74 Greed) [CNN]. One week in the past: 78 (Excessive Greed). (0 is Excessive Concern; 100 is Excessive Greed). Final up to date Mar 11 at 2:22:53 PM ET.

Rapture Index: Closes unchanged [Rapture Ready]. Report Excessive, October 10, 2016: 189. Present: 186. (Keep in mind that bringing on the Rapture is good.) NOTE on #42 Plagues: “The coronavirus pandemic has maxed out this class.” Extra trustworthy than most! • Goat sacrificers irrelevant? Atlantic meridional overturning circulation irrelevant?

Video games

“Akira Toriyama, creator of ‘Dragon Ball,’ dies at 68” [Nikkei Asian Review]. “Toriyama’s creativity prolonged nicely past manga. He additionally designed characters for Dragon Quest, Sq. Enix Holdings’ immensely well-liked collection of role-playing video games. Yuji Horii, creator of Dragon Quest, mentioned: ‘I’m nonetheless in disbelief on the sudden information of Toriyama-san’s passing. I’ve recognized him since I used to be a author for Shonen Leap and requested him to attract pictures for the sport after we had been launching Dragon Quest. Since then, for 37 years, he designed characters and monsters, and drew so many desirable characters that I can’t even start to depend.’ Toriyama’s Dragon Ball is among the iconic titles that helped Japanese manga tradition acquire international acclaim. American singer Chris Brown posted a photograph of Toriyama on his Instagram with the message, ‘Thanks for shaping my childhood.’ Chief Cupboard Secretary Yoshimasa Hayashi famous Toriyama’s international attraction throughout a information convention on Friday. ‘He produced quite a lot of manga works which can be beloved by many individuals at residence and overseas,’ Hayashi mentioned. “He performed a particularly essential function in demonstrating Japan’s comfortable energy.” • A cupboard secretary!

The Gallery

“A Main Retrospective Carves Area for Marisol’s Most Prescient and Beneath-Acknowledged Works” [Colossal]. “Born María Sol Escobar in Nineteen Thirties Paris, Marisol shortly adopted the singular nickname first utilized by her mom. She relocated along with her father to Los Angeles as a teen earlier than transferring to New York within the early Nineteen Fifties, the place she noticed an exhibition of pre-Columbian clay items that prompted an evolution of her follow from portray to sculpture. Not lengthy after, she started working with wooden, the medium for which she’s most recognized in the present day…. A serious retrospective on view now on the Toledo Museum of Artwork explores Marisol’s under-appreciated legacy, presenting 244 sculptures, self-portraits, sketches, underwater movies, pictures, and extra. Included are a number of of the artist’s summary figures with their angular, boxy our bodies and softer defining options like palms and faces.” • Toledo, Ohio, I hasten so as to add. For instance:

A popularization, albeit in plastic:

One other popularization. In wooden:

The Conservatory

Not the primary tune I might have thought might be lined:

Information of the Wired

“The Anarchists of Dune” [The Anarchist Library]. “Frank Herbert, the creator of Dune, lived the happiest elements of his childhood in a failed socialist colony known as Burley, positioned alongside the Salish Sea close to the town of Tacoma, Washington. It was dreary and chilly in the course of the fall and winter, and again within the day, earlier than Herbert was born, all the joy additional down the ocean within the anarchist House Colony, a way more profitable experiment in collective dwelling. Whereas the socialists of Burley struggled to copy their small colony, House grew larger yearly, even changing a few of Burley’s socialists into anarchist defectors…. Frank Herbert’s grandfather Otto had been a socialist and follower of Eugene Debs, and he moved his household to Burley Colony in 1905, simply because the group was falling aside. Given how shut Burley was to House, the Herbert household discovered a lot about their anarchist neighbors, particularly when a number of of them had been arrested throughout a nude bathing scandal. The Herbert household was in Burley from 1905 to 1919, the 12 months House ceased to exist as an anarchist group, they usually had been close by for all the foremost intrigue and conspiracy that occurred there. Given younger Frank Herbert’s love for his grandfather Otto and grandmother Mary, each socialists, it’s doubtless he cherished their tales from the outdated days and sought them out over tales from his father, who grew to become a cop” (!!). Extra: “Within the novel Dune, a personality named Duncan Idaho is shipped to make an alliance with the Fremen, one thing he barely achieved with these distrusting rebels. Many have laughed and questioned why a personality from the 12 months 10,191 would have the final identify Idaho, however again within the outdated days, Idaho was the place the loopy bomb throwing miners lived, those who blasted aside their ex-governor in 1905. It was a spot the place Eugene Debs had known as a insurgent military to invade Boise, a spot the place rebels had hijacked trains and gone mine to mine blowing up their shafts with dynamite.” • Nicely, I’d all the time questioned “Why Idaho?”

For the knitters amongst us:


* * *

Contact info for vegetation: Readers, be at liberty to contact me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, to (a) learn how to ship me a examine in case you are allergic to PayPal and (b) to learn how to ship me pictures of vegetation. Greens are nice! Fungi, lichen, and coral are deemed to be honorary vegetation! If you would like your deal with to look as a credit score, please place it in the beginning of your mail in parentheses: (thus). In any other case, I’ll anonymize through the use of your initials. See the earlier Water Cooler (with plant) right here. From Sub-Boreal:

Sub-Boreal writes:

These had been planted on February twenty fourth, and among the simple ones like jalapeno had been up in lower than per week. It actually helps to place the tray on a heating mat, and I even seen that the germination was sooner for the inserts above the center of the mat vs. the perimeters.

About 2/3 of the seed varieties got here from the Chili Pepper Institute at New Mexico State College which is a good supply for something pepperish. Though their on-line retailer says that they will’t take worldwide orders, they had been capable of ship seeds to Canada as of a few years in the past. (One of many few benefits of being a proximal vassal state…)

Right here in central British Columbia it ought to be protected to switch the seedlings to my unheated greenhouse across the starting of Might, and if we get one other heat summer time like the previous couple of, I can transfer the pots with small-fruited sorts outdoors to a sunny, south-facing spot in early July.

These are the pictures I requested Sub-Boreal to ship in yesterday. Neat venture!

* * *

Readers: Water Cooler is a standalone entity not lined by the annual NC fundraiser. So when you see a hyperlink you particularly like, or an merchandise you wouldn’t see anyplace else, please don’t hesitate to precise your appreciation in tangible type. Keep in mind, a tip jar is for tipping! Common optimistic suggestions each makes me really feel good and lets me know I’m heading in the right direction with protection. After I get no donations for 5 or ten days I get frightened. Extra tangibly, a continuing trickle of donations helps me with bills, and I think about that trickle when setting fundraising objectives:

Right here is the display that can seem, which I’ve helpfully annotated:

When you hate PayPal, you’ll be able to e mail me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, and I will provide you with instructions on how you can ship a examine. Thanks!

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