The IRS faces a significant drawback: Nonfilers

The Inner Income Service is well-known (some might say “notorious”) for auditing tax returns for accuracy and pursuing tax debtors for funds. Nonetheless, there’s a third compliance space that has been deprioritized lately: submitting compliance. 

Taxpayers who exit the tax system by not submitting a required return have emerged as a rising and under-the-radar drawback for the IRS. A Feb. 29, 2024 IRS nonfiler enforcement announcement comes not a second too quickly because the service tries to reel again within the rising variety of taxpayers who will not be submitting a required return.

For the previous few a long time, tax hole research have been measuring the quantity of income misplaced annually because of nonfiling. Within the most up-to-date examine, the IRS estimated that the nonfiling tax hole virtually doubled in 5 years: from $39 billion in 2016 to $77 billion in 2021. 

Whereas this enhance is dramatic, probably much more alarming could also be the extent of the nonfiling drawback that’s unknown to the IRS. For example, the company’s nonfiling tax hole measurements don’t embody an estimate of company (Type 1120 collection) non-filing. 

The decline of nonfiler enforcement

To the extent that the IRS pursues nonfiling at scale, it does so primarily by means of two applications: 

• Delinquent return notices; and, 
• The Substitute for Return program. 

The SFR program is the IRS’s final mass enforcement device. This system works as its identify suggests: The IRS assesses its personal calculation of tax, penalties and curiosity that might be owed on a return when the taxpayer refuses to file. This calculation makes assumptions (as an example, the company doesn’t present potential deductions, credit or enterprise bills within the SFR) that usually create relatively startling, to not point out inaccurate, balances due. 

The IRS usually follows interim steps — notices and investigations — earlier than issuing an SFR. Up to now, many delinquent return notices and investigations didn’t escalate to a closing SFR when the taxpayer didn’t reply to the discover and file a required return. Ultimately, enforcement fell brief because the IRS doesn’t penalize the taxpayer with a further tax evaluation for failing to file the return. 

Within the Feb. 29, 2024, initiative announcement, IRS Commissioner Danny Werfel acknowledged the company’s previous nonfiler enforcement presence. He confirmed that the nonfiler enforcement program has “run sporadically since 2016” because of lack of sources. Nonetheless, he additionally added that the added funding from the Inflation Discount Act permits the IRS to do extra on this program. 

Werfel’s assertion is backed up by IRS enforcement knowledge. Since late 2016, nonfiler investigations have been sparse. The company briefly enforced nonfiling in 2019 and 2020 however shortly shut it down in the course of the pandemic.

Nonfiler enforcement resumes

The preliminary targets for the IRS’s restarted nonfiler enforcement program are roughly 125,000 people in tax years 2017-2021 who obtained greater than $400,000 in revenue. Whereas the IRS wants to start out someplace, this initiative represents solely a small a part of the general nonfiler inhabitants. 

Previous research confirmed there have been 50.7 million taxpayers in 2015-2019 who had been required to file a person tax return, however didn’t. The nonfiling development continued previous 2019. In 2022, the IRS recognized 11.3 million recognized particular person nonfilers. To place the nonfiling within the context of general returns, lacking Kinds 1040 characterize about 7% of the full tax returns the IRS ought to have obtained in 2022.

This announcement marks a obligatory and welcome first step in restarting nonfiling enforcement. Whereas the IRS over 4 years in the past began an lively high-income nonfiler program centered on particular person nonfilers who earned greater than $100,000, it primarily achieved the initiative by utilizing native IRS assortment enforcement personnel. Utilizing native assortment sources didn’t enable the IRS to achieve many taxpayers. Native income officers (area assortment personnel) sources are scarce and are often prioritized for essentially the most egregious tax debt instances — not nonfiler points. Not too long ago, IRS officers said that its native area assortment sources can solely implement about 100,000 taxpayers a 12 months. Contemplating the tens of millions of nonfilers, native enforcement couldn’t put a dent within the massive inhabitants of nonfilers.

The IRS makes use of its campus areas to supply high-volume nonfiling compliance enforcement. These campuses have the capability to ship tens of millions of notices annually to taxpayers by means of automated discover applications. Nonetheless, for nearly the previous decade, the IRS despatched only a few nonfiler notices from its campuses. Campus discover quantity reached its lowest level in 2023, when the IRS didn’t ship any preliminary campus notices (i.e., Discover CP59) to particular person taxpayers who didn’t file a required return. 

Particular person taxpayers will not be the one important nonfiler drawback. Up to now, the IRS centered totally on particular person nonfiling taxpayers, regardless that the variety of recognized enterprise unfiled taxpayers was additionally rising. In 2022, the IRS recognized 87.6 million unfiled enterprise returns (company, partnership, employment, excise tax, and many others.), up from 66.5 million in 2021. For the possibly tens of millions of unfiled enterprise returns, the IRS enforcement presence has been scarce — and leaning towards nonexistent. The IRS in 2021 despatched 65,900 notices to enterprise nonfilers and in 2022 the company despatched even fewer — solely 9,900 to enterprise nonfilers in that 12 months. 

Different alarming tendencies and tax coverage implications

Nonfiling could also be closely pushed by taxpayers who discover they don’t obtain refunds (i.e., they owe a steadiness due with their tax returns). And the IRS could also be inadvertently reinforcing this conduct. Every year, throughout tax season, it ceaselessly urges taxpayers to file, and file early, to obtain their refunds. Nonetheless, this refund incentive, paired with the company’s latest lax nonfiler enforcement, could also be selling extra nonfiling. An equal “be sure you file if you happen to owe” message (paired with a reminder of the steep penalties for nonfiling) for the rising variety of balance-due taxpayers could also be warranted to push balance-due taxpayers to file. 

Information reveals that utilizing refunds as a price proposition to incentivize individuals to file a tax return could also be leaving out an more and more bigger variety of taxpayers. Since 2018, the variety of balance-due filers has elevated at an alarming fee: actually, from 2018 to 2022, steadiness due submitting quantity has elevated by a startling 32%.

When taking into account the rise in balance-due filers, the decline in whole returns filed for the 2022 tax 12 months might assist the conclusion that taxpayers stopped submitting to keep away from paying a steadiness due. The variety of filed tax returns for tax 12 months 2022 dropped 2.3% in comparison with tax 12 months 2021. The IRS obtained virtually 3.8 million fewer returns for tax 12 months 2022 (162 million) than for tax 12 months 2021 (165.8 million). This could have stunned the IRS, which projected, in fall 2022, that it could obtain roughly 166 million returns. 

A rise within the variety of extension filers can also lend some perception to nonfiling conduct. Whereas particular person tax returns are usually due on April 15, taxpayers might request an automated six-month extension for submitting (not for paying) their tax returns. The variety of extension filers elevated by 28% from 2021 to 2022 and 82% from 2020 to 2022. In 2022, people filed 19.4 million extensions — up from 15.1 million in 2021 and 10.6 million in 2020. 

Many tax professionals have urged that extra people are submitting an extension to push their balance-due tax invoice to October. This conduct can also result in nonfiling, as many extension taxpayers going through a steadiness due elect to not file. A 2016 report by the Treasury Inspector Normal for Tax Administration confirmed that 1.7 million taxpayers out of the 12.4 million extension filers by no means filed returns after submitting an extension for his or her 2013 tax return. It appears cheap to query whether or not the expansion in extensions, along with growing balance-due filers, will lead to extra nonfilers.

Along with the nonfiling development, the rise in balance-due filers ought to be one other concern for the IRS. Withholding complexity on Type W-4 and estimated tax cost compliance for the rising variety of gig financial system employees are simply two examples of challenges the IRS faces to scale back the quantity who’ve a steadiness due.

Dealing with the issue

Information helps the conclusion that nonfilers are a big and rising drawback. The IRS has heard criticism that it lacks a complete nonfiler plan. The TIGTA states that the IRS does have a method, however no single enterprise unit owns it. Because of this, it seems chasing nonfilers has not been a precedence for the IRS.

A constant nonfiling compliance technique is now an pressing matter for the IRS, because the variety of delinquent nonfilers seems to be rising. The restart of the company’s campus nonfiler compliance applications is a strong starting. The 2024 preliminary nonfiler targets will probably be 125,000 taxpayers with incomes better than $400,000. That probably will attain about 2% of the recognized nonfiler inhabitants. 

Whereas the restart often is the starting of a bigger technique, the IRS wants to maneuver with vigor to broaden its attain, to each people and companies, to deal with the rising nonfiling tax hole and higher perceive the conduct driving nonfiling. A gentle, considerably scaled cadence of notifications to recognized nonfilers, backed by enforcement as obligatory, must be the annual normal working process for the IRS. The 165 million-plus taxpayers who voluntarily file their returns yearly anticipate nothing much less.